Hillary Clinton has a 95% chance to be elected president, according to a poll by Reuters / Ipsos
Even before the second Telemachus, Sunday night, Donald Trump was losing ground in many of the states where clearly needed to win in order to be elected president, symona the last analysis the agency Reuters and the Ipsos institute released today .
The States of the Nation Project analysis estimates that if the elections were held late last week Hillary Clinton would have at least 95% chance to win the states you need to gather at least 270 electors and elected president. This forecast is based on the results of opinion polls conducted between September 30-October 7.
The percentage of Clinton winning probabilities steadily increased over the past few days, 60% at 15 Sepemvriou 90% on 30 of the month. Over the last four weeks the difference of votes in elective from Trump also increased from 14 to 118.
This analysis does not include the responses from the video to which the Trump appears to speak vulgar for women, nor his appearance in Telemachus.
The Pennsylvania, Ohio, Nevada and Florida now opting for Clinton, according to the Project of Reuters / Ipsos involving about 15,000 people every week. Arizona and Iowa, two States that were almost certainly will win the Trump, the result is more ambiguous: the percentages of the two candidates are so close that there can be no safe forecast.
The forecasts by the State show that support for the Trump reduced. Last week lost ground at least 21 States, including 7 to 18 wherein prior to percentages. At the same time improved rates in 19 States.
Clinton dropped in 12 States and increased rates of other 30.
Based on these predictions, the Trump should be pinned his hopes for victory in voter turnout: do not go to the polls several supporters of Democrats and instead to increase the participation of Republicans.
Even before the second Telemachus, Sunday night, Donald Trump was losing ground in many of the states where clearly needed to win in order to be elected president, symona the last analysis the agency Reuters and the Ipsos institute released today .
The States of the Nation Project analysis estimates that if the elections were held late last week Hillary Clinton would have at least 95% chance to win the states you need to gather at least 270 electors and elected president. This forecast is based on the results of opinion polls conducted between September 30-October 7.
The percentage of Clinton winning probabilities steadily increased over the past few days, 60% at 15 Sepemvriou 90% on 30 of the month. Over the last four weeks the difference of votes in elective from Trump also increased from 14 to 118.
This analysis does not include the responses from the video to which the Trump appears to speak vulgar for women, nor his appearance in Telemachus.
The Pennsylvania, Ohio, Nevada and Florida now opting for Clinton, according to the Project of Reuters / Ipsos involving about 15,000 people every week. Arizona and Iowa, two States that were almost certainly will win the Trump, the result is more ambiguous: the percentages of the two candidates are so close that there can be no safe forecast.
The forecasts by the State show that support for the Trump reduced. Last week lost ground at least 21 States, including 7 to 18 wherein prior to percentages. At the same time improved rates in 19 States.
Clinton dropped in 12 States and increased rates of other 30.
Based on these predictions, the Trump should be pinned his hopes for victory in voter turnout: do not go to the polls several supporters of Democrats and instead to increase the participation of Republicans.
Δεν υπάρχουν σχόλια:
Δημοσίευση σχολίου