Turkey: The polls "suggest" new impasse ...
The parliamentary elections Sunday in Turkey, as they are essentially repetitive, are invited to answer the questions existed in the elections of June 7, 2015: whether will manage the Justice and Development Party to ensure the independence and whether you will be able to open the way a kind of presidential system in the country.
If however the June elections considered as poll and also given based on polls that have been made from 7 June until today, it is likely to produce a similar effect to that of June. Most polls show that there is no self-reliance.
So the question is what will happen if you repeated the result of June. The AKP, which came first in the June elections, had set a target after the elections not to stand strong government to form and lead the country to repeat elections. This happened.
The polarization that still true indicates that not much has changed on the possibility of forming a coalition government. Already indeed members of the Justice and Development Party speak of making third election in a few months, if not become party to self-reliance.
What magnifies the polarization is the attitude of the ruling party on democracy, rights and freedom of the press. The attacks against journalists, the appointment of government commissioners in media space and opposition officials said the ruling party that the operations against the opposition media will continue, all these lead to reactions united opposition.
However, the very marked differences between the three opposition parties make almost impossible their partnership for a coalition government, even if these three parties after the elections have a parliamentary majority.
This concerns in particular the attitude of the far-right Nationalist Movement Party which does not accept any kind of collaboration with the pro-Kurdish Democracy Party of Peoples.
Therefore the realistic scenarios concerning the collaboration of the Justice and Development Party or the Republican People's Party and the Nationalist Movement Party. However, given the fact that the ideological profile of the last two coincides with their existence as parties, then these realistic scenarios could be challenged.
In short, in any case, except in cases where self-reliance is the Justice and Development Party, the impasse appears to be given.
The rates of the parties in the June elections and those of 2011 were as follows:
June 7, 2015 -12 June 2011
AKP 258 seats 40.87% - 49.83% 327 seats
Republican People's Party 132 seats 24.95% - 25.98% 135 seats
Nationalist Movement Party 80 seats, 16.29% - 13.01% 53 seats
Peoples Democratic Party 13.12% 80 seats - 35 seats 6.57%
The parliamentary elections Sunday in Turkey, as they are essentially repetitive, are invited to answer the questions existed in the elections of June 7, 2015: whether will manage the Justice and Development Party to ensure the independence and whether you will be able to open the way a kind of presidential system in the country.
If however the June elections considered as poll and also given based on polls that have been made from 7 June until today, it is likely to produce a similar effect to that of June. Most polls show that there is no self-reliance.
So the question is what will happen if you repeated the result of June. The AKP, which came first in the June elections, had set a target after the elections not to stand strong government to form and lead the country to repeat elections. This happened.
The polarization that still true indicates that not much has changed on the possibility of forming a coalition government. Already indeed members of the Justice and Development Party speak of making third election in a few months, if not become party to self-reliance.
What magnifies the polarization is the attitude of the ruling party on democracy, rights and freedom of the press. The attacks against journalists, the appointment of government commissioners in media space and opposition officials said the ruling party that the operations against the opposition media will continue, all these lead to reactions united opposition.
However, the very marked differences between the three opposition parties make almost impossible their partnership for a coalition government, even if these three parties after the elections have a parliamentary majority.
This concerns in particular the attitude of the far-right Nationalist Movement Party which does not accept any kind of collaboration with the pro-Kurdish Democracy Party of Peoples.
Therefore the realistic scenarios concerning the collaboration of the Justice and Development Party or the Republican People's Party and the Nationalist Movement Party. However, given the fact that the ideological profile of the last two coincides with their existence as parties, then these realistic scenarios could be challenged.
In short, in any case, except in cases where self-reliance is the Justice and Development Party, the impasse appears to be given.
The rates of the parties in the June elections and those of 2011 were as follows:
June 7, 2015 -12 June 2011
AKP 258 seats 40.87% - 49.83% 327 seats
Republican People's Party 132 seats 24.95% - 25.98% 135 seats
Nationalist Movement Party 80 seats, 16.29% - 13.01% 53 seats
Peoples Democratic Party 13.12% 80 seats - 35 seats 6.57%
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